NEWS

25.01.2021 | Macron humiliation: President to be beaten by Le Pen in first round of election – new poll
Source - The Daily Express

A new Harris Interactive poll commissioned by CommStrat cabinet and the daily L'Opinion found that, depending on the various potential candidates on the right and the left of France's political sphere, Emmanuel Macron could lose to Marine Le Pen by a short header in the first round.

The French President would gain 23 to 24 percent of the votes against the 26 to 27 percent that the eurosceptic Le Pen could secure, the poll found.

In 2017, Emmanuel Macron won 24 percent of the votes in the first round, against 21.3 percent for Marine Le Pen.

The French Presidential election next year is expected to see the pair at the centre of the debate again.

The National Rally leader lost to Macron in the second round of the election with 33.9 percent of the votes against 66.1 percent won by the President.

National Rally politicians took to Twitter to celebrate the latest poll.

MEP Helene Laporte tweeted: "With up to 27 percent of voting intentions, Marine Le Pen would come far ahead of the 2022 presidential election, far ahead of Emmanuel Macron and Xavier Bertrand. We are on our way to victory!"

French MP Bruno Bilde added: "Marine in the lead in the first lap ahead of Macron!

"In 2022, the French will show this arrogant macronie that the people are BACK!"

MP Julien Odoul also said: "Marine Le Pen would be in the lead if the first round of the presidential election took place today!

"This is only a survey, nothing is set in stone for 2022 but it feels great."

Macron has shifted his rhetoric to the right in recent weeks, attempting to pass new laws to drive home his emphasis on law and order.

However, the new policies on security, law and order have sparked heated debate in France – highlighting major divisions in the country.

Mr Macron will be looking to avoid a result similar to that of the European elections in 2019, where his rivals mopped up much of the rural and deindustrialised areas of northern, south-central and eastern France.

Christophe Guilluy, a leading political geographer, warned after the vote: “Macron’s electorate is besieged.

"They’re living in these new medieval strongholds. And it’s the periphery that is setting the agenda.”

Mr Guilluy wrote a book in which he set out the idea of a “peripheral France", predicting the rise of the Yellow Vest protesters.

The Harris Interactive poll also found that a candidacy by right-wing figures Xavier Bertrand and Valérie Pécresse would collect respectively 16 percent and 14 percent of the voting intentions.

Whilst left-wing Anne Hidalgo and Arnaud Montebourg would collect respectively 6 or 7 percent and 5 percent of the votes.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon would win 10 to 11 percent of the votes.

The poll was conducted online on January 19 and 20 with a representative sample of 1,403 people, including 976 registered on the electoral roll, using the quota method.


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